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Final
2021-07-0107:20Truist Park
Mets
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Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 32%
Braves scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 16%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Mets defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-13pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
44%
-10pp
F9 full game
46%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0122537503126121302312632828437405273363824733308251795510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 276Runs Allowed 259

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
01735527056491342523741326374505155240640447393681422971410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 355Runs Allowed 359
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR21% 16/7614% 11/7625% 19/7624% 18/7628% 21/7622% 17/76#133% 24/72#231% 20/65#329% 14/4850% 3/6
RA20% 15/7624% 18/7618% 14/7617% 13/76#228% 21/76#129% 22/7619% 14/73#325% 16/6523% 11/4850% 3/6
BravesR32% 25/7821% 16/7829% 23/7819% 15/78#138% 30/78#237% 29/78#334% 26/7726% 18/7020% 11/5433% 3/9
RA#133% 26/7823% 18/7831% 24/7824% 19/7828% 22/7824% 19/78#331% 24/77#233% 23/7027% 15/5689% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.