Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-3007:05Citizens Bank Park

Marlins

Away

3-4

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	0
Phillies	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	X	4	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Phillies defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Phillies offense × Marlins defense

43%R 30% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+1pp

7–9 Late

44%

-8pp

F5 first five

58%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 306Runs Allowed 290

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 323Runs Allowed 343

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	23% 18/78	#327% 21/78	22% 17/78	18% 14/78	#128% 22/78	24% 19/78	#227% 21/77	23% 18/77	20% 12/61	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	#327% 21/78	18% 14/78	#228% 22/78	24% 19/78	#131% 24/78	17% 13/77	16% 12/77	25% 19/77	24% 14/59	55% 6/11
Phillies	R	#130% 23/76	#328% 21/76	28% 21/76	22% 17/76	26% 20/76	#229% 22/76	20% 15/76	23% 17/75	23% 13/56	75% 6/8
Phillies	RA	26% 20/76	18% 14/76	26% 20/76	20% 15/76	25% 19/76	#332% 24/76	#232% 24/75	#136% 27/75	25% 13/53	50% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.