Sportify
Final
2021-06-3007:05Nationals Park
Rays
Away
3-4
Team123456789RHE
Rays000011001380
Nationals31000000X481

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Rays scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 15%
Nationals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp
#3
Inn.5
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Nationals defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Rays defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 78% · Season 59% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
42%
-13pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
47%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

79 games
017345168493313325231463354245435537206473075024834189183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 388Runs Allowed 303

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
0163248645147123342393634332428465383062129732348181297810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 300Runs Allowed 308
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RaysR32% 25/7916% 13/7923% 18/7922% 17/79#137% 29/7928% 22/79#333% 26/7930% 24/79#234% 20/5935% 7/20
RA23% 18/7919% 15/79#132% 25/79#228% 22/79#324% 19/7918% 14/7922% 17/7918% 14/7918% 13/7170% 14/20
NationalsR#133% 25/7620% 15/76#233% 25/76#328% 21/7620% 15/7625% 19/7619% 14/7426% 18/6824% 12/5167% 4/6
RA#132% 24/7622% 17/7626% 20/7622% 17/76#329% 22/7622% 17/7628% 21/76#229% 20/6822% 11/4983% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.