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Final
2021-06-2908:10
9-7
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles0010201059151
Astros0002002037101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.7
Orioles scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 21%
Astros scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Astros defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Orioles defense
50%R 45% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
70%
+15pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
60%
+8pp
F5 first five
66%
+12pp
F9 full game
62%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
0224466884051127422437033743435545204863340748548182295610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 306Runs Allowed 430

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
018365472492114622254293573444343540356483075540838259122110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 442Runs Allowed 300
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#132% 25/7819% 15/7827% 21/78#328% 22/7828% 22/7819% 15/7824% 19/78#230% 22/7318% 11/6271% 5/7
RA29% 23/7827% 21/78#138% 30/7831% 24/7832% 25/78#337% 29/7828% 21/76#238% 28/7325% 12/4857% 4/7
AstrosR#335% 27/7832% 25/7824% 19/78#145% 35/7829% 23/7827% 21/7835% 27/7829% 22/76#241% 22/5458% 7/12
RA21% 16/7817% 13/78#329% 23/7823% 18/78#131% 24/7823% 18/7825% 19/77#230% 23/7623% 15/6583% 10/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.