Sportify
Final
2021-06-2907:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
4-8
Team123456789RHE
Mets0000001304103
Nationals21001103X8111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 26%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 52% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
40%
-14pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
45%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
0112335473124121292312632828437365273263324730278251795510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 268Runs Allowed 248

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
0153146624947122342393634332427465373062128729318181297810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 292Runs Allowed 304
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR22% 16/7415% 11/7426% 19/7424% 18/7428% 21/7423% 17/74#131% 22/70#330% 19/63#230% 14/4650% 3/6
RA19% 14/7423% 17/7419% 14/7418% 13/74#226% 19/74#128% 21/7420% 14/71#324% 15/6323% 11/4750% 3/6
NationalsR#232% 24/7519% 14/75#133% 25/75#328% 21/7519% 14/7524% 18/7519% 14/7325% 17/6724% 12/5167% 4/6
RA#132% 24/7523% 17/7527% 20/7523% 17/75#229% 22/7523% 17/7527% 20/75#328% 19/6723% 11/4883% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.