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Final
2021-06-2906:40Great American Ball Park
4-12
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies000220000481
Reds00200046X12120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#2
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.8
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Reds defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Reds offense × Phillies defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
01632486444421363123828331324363853738625427365182421912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 319Runs Allowed 331

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

76 games
016335067384414025253443325244432535506383674346826349231910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 372Runs Allowed 382
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#131% 23/75#328% 21/7528% 21/7521% 16/7525% 19/75#229% 22/7520% 15/7523% 17/7424% 13/5575% 6/8
RA27% 20/7519% 14/7525% 19/7520% 15/7525% 19/75#232% 24/75#331% 23/74#135% 26/7425% 13/5350% 4/8
RedsR#328% 21/7626% 20/76#134% 26/7622% 17/7628% 21/7626% 20/7628% 21/76#228% 21/7518% 11/6080% 12/15
RA#134% 26/7624% 18/7626% 20/76#229% 22/7628% 21/76#329% 22/7628% 21/7628% 21/7526% 15/5747% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.