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Final
2021-06-2801:10Citi Field
4-2
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.9
Phillies scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
01531476344421353123528331324363853738625427365082420912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 315Runs Allowed 329

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
0112335473124121282312332828437365273263324729278241795510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 266Runs Allowed 244
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#131% 23/74#327% 20/7427% 20/7422% 16/7426% 19/74#230% 22/7420% 15/7423% 17/7324% 13/5475% 6/8
RA27% 20/7419% 14/7426% 19/7420% 15/7426% 19/74#232% 24/74#332% 23/73#134% 25/7323% 12/5250% 4/8
MetsR22% 16/7315% 11/7326% 19/7325% 18/7329% 21/7323% 17/73#132% 22/69#229% 18/62#329% 13/4550% 3/6
RA19% 14/7322% 16/7318% 13/7318% 13/73#226% 19/73#129% 21/7320% 14/70#324% 15/6224% 11/4650% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.