Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2801:10Comerica Park

Astros

Away

1-2

Tigers

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1
Tigers	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1X	2	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Tigers scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Tigers scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Astros scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Tigers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Tigers defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Tigers offense × Astros defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 68% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

72%

+18pp

7–9 Late

52%

+0pp

F5 first five

67%

+13pp

F9 full game

63%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 441Runs Allowed 298

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 301Runs Allowed 374

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#335% 27/77	32% 25/77	25% 19/77	#144% 34/77	30% 23/77	27% 21/77	35% 27/77	29% 22/75	#242% 22/53	64% 7/11
Astros	RA	21% 16/77	17% 13/77	#330% 23/77	23% 18/77	#131% 24/77	23% 18/77	24% 18/76	#231% 23/75	23% 15/64	82% 9/11
Tigers	R	21% 16/77	26% 20/77	#327% 21/77	27% 21/77	#134% 26/77	25% 19/77	23% 17/75	14% 10/71	#232% 19/59	78% 7/9
Tigers	RA	29% 22/77	#336% 28/77	29% 22/77	23% 18/77	#140% 31/77	#238% 29/77	20% 15/75	32% 23/71	30% 16/54	78% 7/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.