Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2607:10loanDepot park

Nationals

Away

2-11

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	2
Marlins	4	0	3	1	1	0	0	2	X	11	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Marlins scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Marlins scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Marlins defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Marlins offense × Nationals defense

15%R 15% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp

Last 20 60% · Season 53% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-6pp

7–9 Late

42%

-10pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

47%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 283Runs Allowed 289

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 291Runs Allowed 281

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#231% 22/72	19% 14/72	#133% 24/72	#328% 20/72	19% 14/72	24% 17/72	20% 14/70	27% 17/64	25% 12/48	67% 4/6
Nationals	RA	#129% 21/72	24% 17/72	26% 19/72	22% 16/72	#328% 20/72	24% 17/72	28% 20/72	#228% 18/64	23% 11/47	83% 5/6
Marlins	R	20% 15/75	#228% 21/75	21% 16/75	17% 13/75	#327% 20/75	25% 19/75	#128% 21/74	23% 17/74	20% 12/60	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	25% 19/75	19% 14/75	#228% 21/75	24% 18/75	#132% 24/75	16% 12/74	16% 12/74	#326% 19/74	25% 14/56	55% 6/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.