Sportify
Final
2026-05-2204:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
2-1
Team123456789RHE
Mets002000000261
Nationals000010000152

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#3
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
67%
+14pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
62%
+9pp
F9 full game
60%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
010213142222912527213303241642385273361620722328912921910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 202Runs Allowed 216

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
013263953422812636222273364242931521316382773535818199121810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 279Runs Allowed 294
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#227% 13/49#135% 17/4916% 8/4924% 12/4924% 12/49#327% 13/4924% 12/4924% 12/4912% 5/4264% 9/14
RA#233% 16/4929% 14/49#333% 16/4916% 8/4912% 6/49#139% 19/4922% 11/4927% 13/4922% 8/3757% 8/14
NationalsR#136% 18/5026% 13/5032% 16/50#236% 18/5028% 14/5030% 15/50#334% 17/5028% 14/5022% 9/4058% 7/12
RA28% 14/5030% 15/50#236% 18/50#138% 19/50#336% 18/5022% 11/5036% 18/5032% 16/5034% 14/4167% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.