Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2604:15Citi Field

Phillies

Away

2-1

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	-	2	3	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	-	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 75% · Season 54% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

46%

-6pp

F5 first five

57%

+2pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 309Runs Allowed 322

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 259Runs Allowed 238

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#132% 23/71	27% 19/71	#228% 20/71	23% 16/71	25% 18/71	#328% 20/71	21% 15/71	23% 16/70	23% 12/53	75% 6/8
Phillies	RA	28% 20/71	18% 13/71	27% 19/71	21% 15/71	27% 19/71	#234% 24/71	#329% 20/70	#134% 24/70	22% 11/51	50% 4/8
Mets	R	23% 16/70	14% 10/70	27% 19/70	26% 18/70	#130% 21/70	24% 17/70	#329% 19/66	#229% 17/59	27% 12/44	50% 3/6
Mets	RA	20% 14/70	21% 15/70	19% 13/70	19% 13/70	#226% 18/70	#127% 19/70	21% 14/67	#324% 14/59	22% 10/45	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.