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2021-06-2507:10Tropicana Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 78% · Season 63% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-7pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
017355270564614340236383393745639543546262774522816289131010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 373Runs Allowed 341

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

75 games
016324865463113125231423314145235533196412875023833179183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 366Runs Allowed 291
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#234% 25/7431% 23/7428% 21/7431% 23/7428% 21/74#333% 24/7323% 17/73#136% 25/6921% 11/5367% 6/9
RA#238% 28/7430% 22/7423% 17/7431% 23/7428% 21/74#142% 31/7423% 17/7320% 14/69#335% 20/5756% 5/9
RaysR#332% 24/7516% 12/7524% 18/7521% 16/75#136% 27/7527% 20/7532% 24/7532% 24/75#233% 19/5735% 7/20
RA23% 17/7520% 15/75#131% 23/75#228% 21/75#325% 19/7517% 13/7521% 16/7517% 13/7518% 12/6770% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.