Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2407:10Citi Field

Braves

Away

3-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	3	8	1
Mets	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	X	7	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 36%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

25%R 25% · RA 25%

Mets offense × Braves defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-11pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-0pp

7–9 Late

48%

-4pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

49%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 338Runs Allowed 337

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 252Runs Allowed 235

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	33% 24/72	22% 16/72	31% 22/72	21% 15/72	#136% 26/72	#236% 26/72	#335% 25/71	25% 16/64	23% 11/48	33% 3/9
Braves	RA	#132% 23/72	24% 17/72	#331% 22/72	26% 19/72	31% 22/72	25% 18/72	28% 20/71	#231% 20/64	28% 15/53	89% 8/9
Mets	R	22% 15/69	13% 9/69	28% 19/69	26% 18/69	#130% 21/69	25% 17/69	#228% 18/65	#328% 16/58	27% 12/44	50% 3/6
Mets	RA	20% 14/69	22% 15/69	19% 13/69	19% 13/69	#225% 17/69	#126% 18/69	21% 14/66	#324% 14/58	23% 10/44	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.