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Final
2021-06-2407:10Tropicana Field
2-8
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox100000010261
Rays23000030X860

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
45%R 35% · RA 55%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 73% · Season 54% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
017355270554414337236383393745639543546262474422816289131010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 371Runs Allowed 333

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games
016324865443012825231423314145235533196382875022833179183010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 358Runs Allowed 289
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#333% 24/7332% 23/7329% 21/7332% 23/7329% 21/73#233% 24/7224% 17/72#135% 24/6821% 11/5267% 6/9
RA#237% 27/7329% 21/7323% 17/7332% 23/7329% 21/73#142% 31/7322% 16/7221% 14/68#335% 20/5756% 5/9
RaysR31% 23/7415% 11/7424% 18/7422% 16/74#136% 27/7427% 20/7431% 23/74#332% 24/74#233% 19/5735% 7/20
RA22% 16/7420% 15/74#131% 23/74#228% 21/74#326% 19/7418% 13/7422% 16/7416% 12/7418% 12/6670% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.