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Final
2021-06-2308:05Wrigley Field
1-7
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Guardians scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.4
Guardians scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.2
Guardians scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Cubs defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Guardians defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 82% · Season 67% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
45%
-7pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
0173451684939119452365133348418205541763045734158241498410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 305Runs Allowed 298

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
0153045603548135322483433741441355354662728734138149981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 314Runs Allowed 296
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR#236% 25/7023% 16/7029% 20/7023% 16/7020% 14/70#146% 32/7018% 12/68#332% 21/6627% 14/5171% 5/7
RA27% 19/70#329% 20/70#140% 28/7029% 20/7019% 13/7013% 9/70#233% 23/7017% 11/6620% 10/5029% 2/7
CubsR29% 21/7327% 20/73#138% 28/73#232% 23/73#332% 23/7325% 18/7324% 17/7226% 19/7218% 9/5175% 6/8
RA26% 19/7322% 16/7327% 20/73#132% 23/73#329% 21/73#232% 23/7325% 18/7310% 7/727% 4/5588% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.