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Final
2021-06-2307:10Tropicana Field
9-5
Rays
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Team1234567891011RHE
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Rays20003000000591

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
61%
+7pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games
01735527055421433723138339374563654354626247442281628991010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 362Runs Allowed 328

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games
015314763423012825231373314144935533196382875022833179182610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 353Runs Allowed 280
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#333% 24/7232% 23/7228% 20/7232% 23/7229% 21/72#234% 24/7124% 17/71#136% 24/6722% 11/5171% 5/7
RA#236% 26/7229% 21/7224% 17/7232% 23/7228% 20/72#143% 31/7223% 16/7121% 14/67#336% 20/5671% 5/7
RaysR30% 22/7315% 11/7325% 18/7322% 16/73#136% 26/7327% 20/7332% 23/73#333% 24/73#234% 19/5639% 7/18
RA22% 16/7321% 15/73#130% 22/73#229% 21/73#326% 19/7318% 13/7322% 16/7316% 12/7318% 12/6572% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.