Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2104:10T-Mobile Park

Rays

Away

2-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	5	1
Mariners	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	4X	6	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Mariners defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Mariners offense × Rays defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

62%

+7pp

F9 full game

54%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 351Runs Allowed 274

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

73 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 294Runs Allowed 344

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	31% 22/72	15% 11/72	25% 18/72	22% 16/72	#136% 26/72	26% 19/72	31% 22/72	#333% 24/72	#235% 19/55	41% 7/17
Rays	RA	22% 16/72	21% 15/72	#129% 21/72	#229% 21/72	#326% 19/72	18% 13/72	21% 15/72	17% 12/72	19% 12/64	71% 12/17
Mariners	R	#232% 23/73	18% 13/73	#140% 29/73	26% 19/73	25% 18/73	18% 13/73	22% 16/73	#330% 21/70	23% 12/52	88% 7/8
Mariners	RA	26% 19/73	#233% 24/73	32% 23/73	27% 20/73	#136% 26/73	22% 16/73	25% 18/73	27% 19/70	#332% 16/50	50% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.