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Final
2021-06-2102:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
40%
-12pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games
0122436492129139262363232328429345361963820735398203199910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 286Runs Allowed 267

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games
0153045603548135312473433741440335354662728734128149981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 312Runs Allowed 292
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR21% 15/71#228% 20/7123% 16/7118% 13/71#328% 20/7125% 18/71#130% 21/7023% 16/7021% 12/5655% 6/11
RA24% 17/7118% 13/71#228% 20/7125% 18/71#131% 22/7116% 11/7016% 11/70#327% 19/7025% 13/5355% 6/11
CubsR30% 21/7128% 20/71#138% 27/71#232% 23/71#331% 22/7125% 18/7124% 17/7027% 19/7018% 9/5075% 6/8
RA27% 19/7121% 15/71#328% 20/71#132% 23/7128% 20/71#232% 23/7125% 18/719% 6/708% 4/5388% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.