Sportify
Final
2021-06-2101:05Nationals Park
Mets
Away
2-5
Team123456789RHE
Mets010000100240
Nationals10101020X5130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Nationals scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
#3
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 18%
Nationals scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 60% · Season 50% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
46%
-8pp
F9 full game
47%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
0102132432823116272311932828434315272762822727268221695510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 246Runs Allowed 224

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games
0132740544340118292353234230421405273061726729238161297810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 255Runs Allowed 270
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR22% 14/6512% 8/65#229% 19/6528% 18/65#131% 20/6526% 17/6527% 17/62#329% 16/5629% 12/4250% 3/6
RA20% 13/6523% 15/6517% 11/6520% 13/6523% 15/65#126% 17/6521% 13/62#225% 14/56#323% 10/4350% 3/6
NationalsR28% 19/6819% 13/68#132% 22/68#229% 20/6818% 12/6824% 16/6818% 12/66#328% 17/6024% 11/4567% 4/6
RA#131% 21/6821% 14/68#326% 18/6822% 15/68#228% 19/6825% 17/6826% 18/6825% 15/6026% 11/4383% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.