Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-2010:10T-Mobile Park

Rays

Away

5-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Rays	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	5	8	0
Mariners	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Mariners defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Mariners offense × Rays defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

46%

-6pp

F5 first five

61%

+7pp

F9 full game

53%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

71 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 346Runs Allowed 268

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

72 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 288Runs Allowed 339

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	31% 22/71	14% 10/71	25% 18/71	23% 16/71	#135% 25/71	25% 18/71	31% 22/71	#234% 24/71	#333% 18/54	44% 7/16
Rays	RA	23% 16/71	20% 14/71	#130% 21/71	#230% 21/71	#327% 19/71	18% 13/71	21% 15/71	17% 12/71	19% 12/63	69% 11/16
Mariners	R	#232% 23/72	17% 12/72	#140% 29/72	26% 19/72	25% 18/72	18% 13/72	22% 16/72	#330% 21/69	24% 12/51	86% 6/7
Mariners	RA	26% 19/72	#232% 23/72	#332% 23/72	28% 20/72	#135% 25/72	21% 15/72	25% 18/72	28% 19/69	31% 15/49	57% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.