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Final
2021-06-2002:20Wrigley Field
11-1
Cubs
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Marlins31201112011110
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 58% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
39%
-13pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
0122436481829138262343232328428345351963720733388203199910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 275Runs Allowed 266

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
0142944593545135302473233741440325354562727733108149981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 311Runs Allowed 281
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR20% 14/70#227% 19/7021% 15/7019% 13/70#327% 19/7024% 17/70#129% 20/6922% 15/6922% 12/5555% 6/11
RA24% 17/7019% 13/70#229% 20/7026% 18/70#131% 22/7016% 11/6916% 11/69#326% 18/6925% 13/5255% 6/11
CubsR30% 21/7029% 20/70#139% 27/70#233% 23/70#331% 22/7026% 18/7025% 17/6926% 18/6918% 9/4975% 6/8
RA26% 18/7020% 14/70#327% 19/70#133% 23/7027% 19/70#231% 22/7024% 17/707% 5/698% 4/5288% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.