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Final
2021-06-1908:05Wrigley Field
10-2
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins0050032001090
Cubs101000000240

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.3
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
38%
-14pp
F5 first five
59%
+5pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
0122436481828138262293132328428345321963520733388203199910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 265Runs Allowed 264

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games
0142943583445135302462733741440325354262725733108149981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 309Runs Allowed 271
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR20% 14/69#228% 19/6920% 14/6919% 13/69#328% 19/6923% 16/69#128% 19/6822% 15/6822% 12/5455% 6/11
RA23% 16/6919% 13/69#228% 19/6926% 18/69#132% 22/6916% 11/6816% 11/68#326% 18/6825% 13/5155% 6/11
CubsR29% 20/6929% 20/69#138% 26/69#233% 23/69#332% 22/6926% 18/6925% 17/6826% 18/6819% 9/4875% 6/8
RA26% 18/6920% 14/6926% 18/69#133% 23/69#328% 19/69#230% 21/6923% 16/697% 5/688% 4/5188% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.