Sportify
Final
2026-05-2106:45Nationals Park
Mets
Away
4-8
Team123456789RHE
Mets011000020471
Nationals31000202X8100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-0pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
60%
+7pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
09192939222612426212303241642385273161620720308912921910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 198Runs Allowed 208

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
013263953392812535222263364242931519316382773333818199121810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 271Runs Allowed 290
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#227% 13/48#133% 16/4815% 7/4825% 12/4825% 12/48#327% 13/4825% 12/4823% 11/4812% 5/4164% 9/14
RA#331% 15/4827% 13/48#233% 16/4817% 8/4812% 6/48#138% 18/4823% 11/4825% 12/4822% 8/3757% 8/14
NationalsR#235% 17/4924% 12/4933% 16/49#137% 18/4929% 14/4929% 14/49#335% 17/4927% 13/4922% 9/4058% 7/12
RA29% 14/4929% 14/4935% 17/49#139% 19/49#237% 18/4922% 11/49#337% 18/4931% 15/4935% 14/4067% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.