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Final
2021-06-1808:40Petco Park
Reds
Away
4-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Reds defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 62% · Season 63% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
015304560354213921248363284543830534476353373634819309211510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 333Runs Allowed 333

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games
017345168322213126227293222542941554396412373224826109161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 310Runs Allowed 249
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR27% 18/66#229% 19/66#133% 22/6623% 15/66#329% 19/6629% 19/6629% 19/6626% 17/6517% 9/5292% 11/12
RA#136% 24/6624% 16/6624% 16/66#229% 19/66#329% 19/6629% 19/6627% 18/6625% 16/6528% 14/5042% 5/12
PadresR26% 18/7029% 20/7023% 16/7023% 16/7020% 14/70#140% 28/70#230% 21/7025% 17/69#329% 14/4857% 8/14
RA17% 12/7021% 15/7026% 18/7023% 16/70#131% 22/70#229% 20/7021% 15/70#326% 18/6917% 9/5343% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.