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Final
2021-06-1707:10Citi Field
Cubs
Away
3-6
Mets
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Mets02121000X652

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 10%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense
35%R 50% · RA 20%
Mets offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
46%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
0142943583245135282462633639440315354262725733108129981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 304Runs Allowed 265

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
091929392620114272291832623431305272762622727268221395510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 233Runs Allowed 211
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR28% 19/6730% 20/67#139% 26/67#233% 22/67#333% 22/6727% 18/6726% 17/6627% 18/6617% 8/4675% 6/8
RA#327% 18/6719% 13/6725% 17/67#133% 22/6727% 18/67#231% 21/6724% 16/678% 5/668% 4/5088% 7/8
MetsR22% 13/6012% 7/6028% 17/6028% 17/60#230% 18/6028% 17/6028% 16/57#130% 16/53#330% 12/4050% 3/6
RA18% 11/60#325% 15/6017% 10/6018% 11/6023% 14/60#128% 17/6022% 13/58#226% 14/5320% 8/4050% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.