Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1707:10Progressive Field

Orioles

Away

7-8

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	2	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	0	7	12	1
Guardians	1	0	5	0	0	2	0	0	X	8	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Guardians scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Guardians scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 80% · Season 64% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+1pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

59%

+5pp

F9 full game

60%

+6pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 263Runs Allowed 337

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 268Runs Allowed 270

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	#132% 21/66	20% 13/66	26% 17/66	#230% 20/66	29% 19/66	21% 14/66	24% 16/66	#330% 18/61	22% 11/51	67% 4/6
Orioles	RA	27% 18/66	24% 16/66	#335% 23/66	32% 21/66	32% 21/66	#138% 25/66	25% 16/64	#236% 22/61	24% 10/41	67% 4/6
Guardians	R	#236% 23/64	22% 14/64	27% 17/64	23% 15/64	19% 12/64	#145% 29/64	16% 10/62	#330% 18/60	28% 13/47	71% 5/7
Guardians	RA	27% 17/64	#330% 19/64	#141% 26/64	30% 19/64	19% 12/64	11% 7/64	#233% 21/64	18% 11/60	22% 10/46	29% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.