Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1704:05Nationals Park

Pirates

Away

1-3

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	9	0
Nationals	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	X	3	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.8

Pirates scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 28%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Nationals defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Nationals offense × Pirates defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 68% · -0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-4pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

54%

-1pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 226Runs Allowed 324

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 244Runs Allowed 262

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#129% 19/66	#227% 18/66	21% 14/66	23% 15/66	18% 12/66	#327% 18/66	19% 12/64	25% 15/61	13% 7/53	62% 5/8
Pirates	RA	#147% 31/66	#238% 25/66	#336% 24/66	24% 16/66	26% 17/66	33% 22/66	26% 17/65	26% 16/62	18% 7/38	38% 3/8
Nationals	R	28% 18/64	19% 12/64	#133% 21/64	#230% 19/64	17% 11/64	25% 16/64	17% 11/63	#329% 17/58	23% 10/44	67% 4/6
Nationals	RA	#131% 20/64	22% 14/64	27% 17/64	23% 15/64	#228% 18/64	27% 17/64	27% 17/64	24% 14/58	#327% 11/41	83% 5/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.