Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1608:15Busch Stadium

Marlins

Away

1-2

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	1
Cardinals	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1X	2	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cardinals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.2

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cardinals defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Cardinals offense × Marlins defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 78% · Season 55% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+0pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

62%

+8pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 264Runs Allowed 261

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 274Runs Allowed 303

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	21% 14/67	#228% 19/67	19% 13/67	19% 13/67	#328% 19/67	24% 16/67	#129% 19/66	23% 15/66	23% 12/52	55% 6/11
Marlins	RA	24% 16/67	19% 13/67	#228% 19/67	27% 18/67	#133% 22/67	15% 10/66	17% 11/66	#327% 18/66	22% 11/49	55% 6/11
Cardinals	R	#135% 23/66	#332% 21/66	#233% 22/66	18% 12/66	27% 18/66	21% 14/66	17% 11/65	19% 12/64	24% 12/49	80% 4/5
Cardinals	RA	#230% 20/66	24% 16/66	#329% 19/66	23% 15/66	24% 16/66	#136% 24/66	29% 19/66	23% 15/64	17% 8/46	20% 1/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.