Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1507:10Citi Field

Cubs

Away

2-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	3	1
Mets	0	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	X	5	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.7

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

16%

Own scoring 22%

Opponent allowing 10%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Mets offense × Cubs defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 62% · Season 56% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+1pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

51%

-4pp

F9 full game

49%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 300Runs Allowed 257

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 225Runs Allowed 207

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	29% 19/65	31% 20/65	#138% 25/65	#234% 22/65	#334% 22/65	28% 18/65	25% 16/64	28% 18/64	18% 8/44	75% 6/8
Cubs	RA	#328% 18/65	20% 13/65	25% 16/65	#132% 21/65	25% 16/65	#231% 20/65	25% 16/65	8% 5/64	8% 4/50	88% 7/8
Mets	R	22% 13/58	12% 7/58	28% 16/58	28% 16/58	28% 16/58	28% 16/58	#329% 16/55	#131% 16/51	#230% 12/40	50% 3/6
Mets	RA	19% 11/58	#326% 15/58	16% 9/58	19% 11/58	24% 14/58	#129% 17/58	21% 12/56	#227% 14/51	21% 8/38	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.