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2021-06-1407:08Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 68% · Season 54% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+2pp
7–9 Late
38%
-14pp
F5 first five
60%
+7pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
0153146624438132382443431924440315284961636716318231698210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 270Runs Allowed 299

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
0142842573245135282422433636440295354162525733108129981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 298Runs Allowed 257
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#136% 23/64#331% 20/64#234% 22/6419% 12/6427% 17/6422% 14/6417% 11/6318% 11/6225% 12/4880% 4/5
RA#231% 20/6425% 16/6427% 17/6423% 15/6425% 16/64#138% 24/64#330% 19/6424% 15/6218% 8/4520% 1/5
CubsR30% 19/6431% 20/64#138% 24/64#234% 22/64#334% 22/6428% 18/6425% 16/6329% 18/6318% 8/4475% 6/8
RA#328% 18/6420% 13/6425% 16/64#133% 21/6425% 16/64#231% 20/6425% 16/648% 5/638% 4/4988% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.