Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1402:10Target Field

Astros

Away

14-3

Twins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	1	0	0	2	2	4	2	2	1	14	20	1
Twins	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.4

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Twins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Twins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Twins defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Twins offense × Astros defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 72% · Season 64% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

66%

+12pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

66%

+12pp

F9 full game

62%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 344Runs Allowed 269

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 296Runs Allowed 335

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#333% 21/64	33% 21/64	22% 14/64	#142% 27/64	30% 19/64	23% 15/64	33% 21/64	25% 16/64	#239% 18/46	60% 6/10
Astros	RA	22% 14/64	17% 11/64	#330% 19/64	27% 17/64	#231% 20/64	22% 14/64	25% 16/64	#133% 21/64	26% 14/53	80% 8/10
Twins	R	33% 21/64	30% 19/64	#241% 26/64	23% 15/64	27% 17/64	#334% 22/64	22% 14/64	#145% 26/58	15% 7/47	30% 3/10
Twins	RA	#234% 22/64	31% 20/64	25% 16/64	27% 17/64	#141% 26/64	#333% 21/64	25% 15/61	28% 16/58	31% 15/48	90% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.