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Final
2021-06-1401:10Tropicana Field
1-7
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles010000000121
Rays00120040X7100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+7pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
61%
+7pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
0153146623532123372394933032430435193862525734428181594610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 257Runs Allowed 319

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
014294459392612619229323273544530528176312774722831159182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 321Runs Allowed 243
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#133% 21/6317% 11/6327% 17/63#330% 19/6329% 18/6322% 14/6324% 15/63#231% 18/5823% 11/4867% 4/6
RA25% 16/6325% 16/63#335% 22/6330% 19/6333% 21/63#138% 24/6323% 14/61#238% 22/5824% 10/4167% 4/6
RaysR31% 20/6515% 10/6525% 16/6522% 14/65#135% 23/6525% 16/6531% 20/65#334% 22/65#235% 17/4947% 7/15
RA23% 15/6520% 13/65#228% 18/65#129% 19/65#325% 16/6518% 12/6523% 15/6518% 12/6519% 11/5967% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.