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Final
2021-06-1307:15Target Field
Astros
Away
2-5
Twins
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.1
Astros scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Twins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Twins defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Twins offense × Astros defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+11pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
67%
+13pp
F9 full game
63%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
01428425739191391923725343324373552929634257453783124981910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.82.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 264

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
01734516931401333924629327344275554336618327462481329971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 291Runs Allowed 333
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#333% 21/6333% 21/6322% 14/63#143% 27/6330% 19/6324% 15/6332% 20/6325% 16/63#240% 18/4560% 6/10
RA22% 14/6317% 11/63#230% 19/6325% 16/63#330% 19/6322% 14/6324% 15/63#133% 21/6326% 14/5380% 8/10
TwinsR33% 21/6330% 19/63#241% 26/6322% 14/6325% 16/63#335% 22/6321% 13/63#146% 26/5715% 7/4730% 3/10
RA#235% 22/6332% 20/6325% 16/6327% 17/63#141% 26/63#333% 21/6323% 14/6028% 16/5732% 15/4790% 9/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.