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Final
2021-06-1307:15Wrigley Field
2-7
Cubs
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Cardinals011000000251
Cubs05110000X750

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
32%R 20% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 62% · Season 63% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
42%
-10pp
F5 first five
58%
+5pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
0153146624438131332433331923440315284961636716318231698210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 268Runs Allowed 292

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
0142842573245130272412333536440295354162525733108129981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 291Runs Allowed 255
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#137% 23/63#330% 19/63#233% 21/6319% 12/6327% 17/6322% 14/6318% 11/6218% 11/6126% 12/4780% 4/5
RA#232% 20/6324% 15/6325% 16/6322% 14/6325% 16/63#138% 24/63#330% 19/6325% 15/6118% 8/4520% 1/5
CubsR30% 19/6330% 19/63#137% 23/63#333% 21/63#235% 22/6329% 18/6326% 16/6229% 18/6218% 8/4475% 6/8
RA#329% 18/6319% 12/6324% 15/63#133% 21/6325% 16/63#232% 20/6325% 16/638% 5/628% 4/4888% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.