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Final
2021-06-1304:10Tropicana Field
4-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles000040000462
Rays30020000X590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+6pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
0153146623529123372394933030426435193862525734428181594610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 253Runs Allowed 314

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games
014294459362612619229323253544526528176312774722831159182010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 316Runs Allowed 239
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#134% 21/6218% 11/6227% 17/62#331% 19/6227% 17/6223% 14/6224% 15/62#232% 18/5723% 11/4767% 4/6
RA24% 15/6226% 16/62#335% 22/6229% 18/6234% 21/62#139% 24/6223% 14/60#239% 22/5724% 10/4167% 4/6
RaysR30% 19/6416% 10/6425% 16/6420% 13/64#136% 23/6425% 16/6431% 20/64#334% 22/64#235% 17/4947% 7/15
RA#323% 15/6420% 13/64#228% 18/64#130% 19/6423% 15/6419% 12/6423% 15/6419% 12/6419% 11/5867% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.