Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-2101:05Citizens Bank Park

Reds

Away

9-4

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	9	15	2
Phillies	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Reds scoring tendency

27%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 17%

Phillies scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 54%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Phillies defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Phillies offense × Reds defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+1pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 212Runs Allowed 245

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 205Runs Allowed 224

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	27% 13/49	27% 13/49	18% 9/49	#233% 16/49	#333% 16/49	27% 13/49	14% 7/49	33% 16/49	#134% 13/38	57% 4/7
Reds	RA	#333% 16/49	27% 13/49	31% 15/49	#135% 17/49	22% 11/49	18% 9/49	31% 15/49	31% 15/49	#233% 13/39	57% 4/7
Phillies	R	#133% 16/49	20% 10/49	22% 11/49	18% 9/49	#329% 14/49	20% 10/49	14% 7/49	#233% 16/49	21% 8/39	62% 5/8
Phillies	RA	24% 12/49	22% 11/49	#137% 18/49	22% 11/49	#327% 13/49	#237% 18/49	22% 11/49	24% 12/49	21% 8/39	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.