Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1304:10Citi Field

Padres

Away

1-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	0
Mets	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	X	4	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.9

Padres scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 29%

Mets scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 21%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Mets defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Padres defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

37%

-18pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

43%

-11pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 289Runs Allowed 223

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 218Runs Allowed 199

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	25% 16/65	#229% 19/65	23% 15/65	23% 15/65	22% 14/65	#142% 27/65	#329% 19/65	27% 17/64	28% 12/43	57% 8/14
Padres	RA	15% 10/65	23% 15/65	#325% 16/65	22% 14/65	#132% 21/65	#228% 18/65	20% 13/65	22% 14/64	16% 8/51	43% 6/14
Mets	R	21% 12/56	12% 7/56	#329% 16/56	29% 16/56	27% 15/56	27% 15/56	#230% 16/53	29% 14/49	#131% 12/39	50% 3/6
Mets	RA	18% 10/56	#327% 15/56	16% 9/56	20% 11/56	25% 14/56	#130% 17/56	19% 10/54	#229% 14/49	22% 8/36	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.