Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-1207:10Tropicana Field

Orioles

Away

2-4

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0
Rays	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	X	4	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.1

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.3

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Orioles defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 75% · Season 61% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+8pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

61%

+7pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 251Runs Allowed 310

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 312Runs Allowed 237

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	#134% 21/61	18% 11/61	26% 16/61	#331% 19/61	28% 17/61	23% 14/61	25% 15/61	#232% 18/56	24% 11/46	67% 4/6
Orioles	RA	25% 15/61	26% 16/61	#334% 21/61	28% 17/61	34% 21/61	#139% 24/61	22% 13/59	#239% 22/56	24% 10/41	67% 4/6
Rays	R	30% 19/63	16% 10/63	24% 15/63	19% 12/63	#137% 23/63	25% 16/63	30% 19/63	#235% 22/63	#335% 17/49	47% 7/15
Rays	RA	#324% 15/63	21% 13/63	#227% 17/63	#130% 19/63	24% 15/63	19% 12/63	24% 15/63	19% 12/63	19% 11/57	67% 10/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.