Sportify
Final
2021-06-1004:10Petco Park
Cubs
Away
3-1
Padres
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Padres001000000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
44%
-7pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
0142842573245130262412133336437265344162225731108129981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 280Runs Allowed 249

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
01633506729171292622327320194293655336632197321882399161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 286Runs Allowed 217
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#331% 19/6131% 19/61#138% 23/6131% 19/61#234% 21/6128% 17/6123% 14/6027% 16/6019% 8/4375% 6/8
RA#330% 18/6118% 11/6121% 13/61#134% 21/6125% 15/61#233% 20/6126% 16/618% 5/609% 4/4688% 7/8
PadresR25% 16/63#230% 19/6322% 14/6324% 15/6322% 14/63#143% 27/6329% 18/6327% 17/62#329% 12/4157% 8/14
RA16% 10/6324% 15/63#325% 16/6321% 13/63#132% 20/63#229% 18/6319% 12/6321% 13/6216% 8/5043% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.