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Final
2021-06-0910:10Petco Park
Cubs
Away
7-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 73% · Season 57% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
41%
-10pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
0142842573245130262412133236437265304162025731108128981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 273Runs Allowed 248

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
01633506729171292622327320184293655332632177321882299161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 285Runs Allowed 210
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#332% 19/6032% 19/60#138% 23/6030% 18/60#235% 21/6027% 16/6022% 13/5927% 16/5919% 8/4275% 6/8
RA#330% 18/6018% 11/6022% 13/60#135% 21/6025% 15/60#233% 20/6027% 16/608% 5/597% 3/4588% 7/8
PadresR26% 16/62#231% 19/6223% 14/6224% 15/6223% 14/62#144% 27/62#329% 18/6228% 17/6128% 11/4057% 8/14
RA16% 10/6224% 15/62#326% 16/6219% 12/62#132% 20/62#227% 17/6218% 11/6221% 13/6116% 8/4943% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.