Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0907:10Tropicana Field

Nationals

Away

1-3

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
Rays	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	X	3	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.5

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Rays defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Rays offense × Nationals defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 73% · Season 53% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

67%

+13pp

7–9 Late

47%

-5pp

F5 first five

60%

+6pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 246

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 302Runs Allowed 227

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	25% 14/56	20% 11/56	#132% 18/56	#230% 17/56	16% 9/56	29% 16/56	18% 10/56	#329% 15/51	24% 10/41	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	#132% 18/56	23% 13/56	#330% 17/56	25% 14/56	30% 17/56	29% 16/56	27% 15/56	24% 12/51	#231% 11/36	100% 4/4
Rays	R	28% 17/61	16% 10/61	25% 15/61	20% 12/61	#136% 22/61	26% 16/61	30% 18/61	#334% 21/61	#235% 17/48	46% 6/13
Rays	RA	23% 14/61	21% 13/61	#225% 15/61	#131% 19/61	23% 14/61	20% 12/61	#325% 15/61	20% 12/61	20% 11/55	62% 8/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.