Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0810:10Petco Park

Cubs

Away

4-9

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	4	7	1
Padres	1	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	X	9	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense

45%R 55% · RA 35%

Padres offense × Cubs defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 73% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+9pp

7–9 Late

40%

-12pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 269Runs Allowed 239

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 276Runs Allowed 206

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#332% 19/59	32% 19/59	#139% 23/59	29% 17/59	#236% 21/59	27% 16/59	21% 12/58	28% 16/58	20% 8/41	75% 6/8
Cubs	RA	#329% 17/59	17% 10/59	20% 12/59	#136% 21/59	25% 15/59	#232% 19/59	27% 16/59	7% 4/58	7% 3/45	88% 7/8
Padres	R	25% 15/61	#230% 18/61	21% 13/61	25% 15/61	23% 14/61	#143% 26/61	#330% 18/61	27% 16/60	28% 11/40	57% 8/14
Padres	RA	16% 10/61	25% 15/61	#326% 16/61	18% 11/61	#133% 20/61	#228% 17/61	16% 10/61	22% 13/60	17% 8/48	43% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.