Sportify
Final
2021-06-0704:10Petco Park
Mets
Away
6-2
Padres
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Padres000001001260

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.8
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 39%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 31%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mets defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 65% · Season 62% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
35%
-19pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
52%
+0pp
F5 first five
41%
-12pp
F9 full game
47%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
081725342018114242211532222423275242562511721258171295510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 192Runs Allowed 184

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
01531476328171282622126320144293655031632157291682199161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 274Runs Allowed 200
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR19% 10/5213% 7/5227% 14/52#229% 15/5225% 13/5227% 14/52#131% 15/4927% 12/45#328% 10/3650% 3/6
RA17% 9/52#327% 14/5215% 8/5219% 10/5225% 13/52#229% 15/5218% 9/50#129% 13/4521% 7/3350% 3/6
PadresR25% 15/60#230% 18/6022% 13/6025% 15/6023% 14/60#142% 25/60#330% 18/6027% 16/5926% 10/3957% 8/14
RA17% 10/60#325% 15/6025% 15/6017% 10/60#133% 20/60#227% 16/6015% 9/6020% 12/5917% 8/4743% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.