Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0702:15Busch Stadium

Reds

Away

8-7

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	10	1
Cardinals	0	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	7	14	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Cardinals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 72% · Season 63% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

49%

-3pp

F5 first five

55%

+2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 274Runs Allowed 297

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 247Runs Allowed 264

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	23% 13/56	21% 12/56	#134% 19/56	21% 12/56	29% 16/56	#330% 17/56	27% 15/56	#231% 17/55	15% 7/46	91% 10/11
Reds	RA	#136% 20/56	25% 14/56	27% 15/56	#232% 18/56	#330% 17/56	29% 16/56	27% 15/56	25% 14/55	30% 12/40	36% 4/11
Cardinals	R	#137% 22/59	#331% 18/59	#232% 19/59	19% 11/59	27% 16/59	22% 13/59	17% 10/58	19% 11/57	27% 12/44	80% 4/5
Cardinals	RA	#329% 17/59	24% 14/59	24% 14/59	22% 13/59	25% 15/59	#137% 22/59	#231% 18/59	25% 14/57	14% 6/42	20% 1/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.