Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0604:05Citizens Bank Park

Nationals

Away

2-5

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	1
Phillies	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	X	5	6	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 29%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+6pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 207Runs Allowed 229

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 228Runs Allowed 248

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	26% 14/54	20% 11/54	#130% 16/54	#230% 16/54	17% 9/54	28% 15/54	19% 10/54	#329% 14/49	26% 10/39	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	#133% 18/54	24% 13/54	#231% 17/54	22% 12/54	30% 16/54	28% 15/54	28% 15/54	22% 11/49	#331% 11/36	100% 4/4
Phillies	R	#130% 17/56	25% 14/56	27% 15/56	18% 10/56	21% 12/56	#230% 17/56	23% 13/56	20% 11/55	#327% 11/41	67% 4/6
Phillies	RA	27% 15/56	18% 10/56	23% 13/56	18% 10/56	25% 14/56	#234% 19/56	#333% 18/55	#135% 19/55	20% 8/40	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.