Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0604:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Guardians

Away

10-4

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	2	0	5	0	1	1	0	1	0	10	14	0
Orioles	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	4	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.6

Guardians scoring tendency

52%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 60%

Orioles scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 73% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

56%

+5pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

58%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 216Runs Allowed 224

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 218Runs Allowed 278

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	#331% 17/55	24% 13/55	24% 13/55	25% 14/55	18% 10/55	#144% 24/55	17% 9/53	#231% 16/51	22% 9/41	67% 4/6
Guardians	RA	24% 13/55	#329% 16/55	#140% 22/55	27% 15/55	18% 10/55	11% 6/55	#231% 17/55	20% 10/51	23% 9/39	33% 2/6
Orioles	R	#132% 18/57	16% 9/57	25% 14/57	#330% 17/57	26% 15/57	21% 12/57	25% 14/57	#231% 16/52	25% 11/44	67% 4/6
Orioles	RA	21% 12/57	28% 16/57	#332% 18/57	30% 17/57	32% 18/57	#140% 23/57	24% 13/55	#238% 20/52	19% 7/37	67% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.