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Final
2021-06-0510:10Petco Park
Mets
Away
0-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.8
Mets scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 44%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Padres defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Mets defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
39%
-14pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+3pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
44%
-9pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
081725342017114242211532222421275232562510721258161295510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 188Runs Allowed 182

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
01531476327171282622126320144293455030631157291682189161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 272Runs Allowed 196
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR20% 10/5014% 7/50#328% 14/50#230% 15/5024% 12/5026% 13/50#132% 15/4728% 12/4326% 9/3450% 3/6
RA16% 8/50#328% 14/5016% 8/5020% 10/5026% 13/50#230% 15/5017% 8/48#130% 13/4322% 7/3250% 3/6
PadresR24% 14/58#231% 18/5822% 13/5826% 15/5824% 14/58#143% 25/58#329% 17/5828% 16/5726% 10/3857% 8/14
RA17% 10/58#226% 15/58#326% 15/5817% 10/58#133% 19/5826% 15/5816% 9/5821% 12/5716% 7/4543% 6/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.