Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0508:15Busch Stadium

Reds

Away

6-4

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	6	9	1
Cardinals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cardinals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 78% · Season 63% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-0pp

F5 first five

55%

+1pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 263Runs Allowed 291

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 253

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	24% 13/54	20% 11/54	#133% 18/54	20% 11/54	#330% 16/54	28% 15/54	26% 14/54	#232% 17/53	14% 6/44	91% 10/11
Reds	RA	#135% 19/54	26% 14/54	28% 15/54	#231% 17/54	#330% 16/54	30% 16/54	28% 15/54	26% 14/53	29% 11/38	36% 4/11
Cardinals	R	#137% 21/57	#332% 18/57	#233% 19/57	18% 10/57	26% 15/57	23% 13/57	18% 10/56	20% 11/55	26% 11/42	80% 4/5
Cardinals	RA	#230% 17/57	23% 13/57	23% 13/57	21% 12/57	26% 15/57	#135% 20/57	#330% 17/57	25% 14/55	12% 5/40	20% 1/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.