Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0507:05Citizens Bank Park

Nationals

Away

2-1

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	6	0
Phillies	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 17%

Phillies scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

35%R 20% · RA 50%

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

57%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 205Runs Allowed 228

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 227Runs Allowed 246

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	26% 14/53	21% 11/53	#130% 16/53	#328% 15/53	17% 9/53	26% 14/53	19% 10/53	#229% 14/48	26% 10/38	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	#134% 18/53	25% 13/53	#232% 17/53	21% 11/53	30% 16/53	28% 15/53	28% 15/53	23% 11/48	#331% 11/35	100% 4/4
Phillies	R	#131% 17/55	25% 14/55	27% 15/55	16% 9/55	22% 12/55	#231% 17/55	24% 13/55	20% 11/54	#328% 11/40	67% 4/6
Phillies	RA	27% 15/55	18% 10/55	24% 13/55	16% 9/55	25% 14/55	#333% 18/55	#233% 18/54	#135% 19/54	21% 8/39	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.