Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-06-0507:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Guardians

Away

1-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	8	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	X	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Orioles scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.6

Guardians scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 55%

Orioles scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Orioles defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Orioles offense × Guardians defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 78% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

66%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+1pp

7–9 Late

54%

+2pp

F5 first five

60%

+7pp

F9 full game

58%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 221

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 277

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	#331% 17/54	24% 13/54	24% 13/54	26% 14/54	19% 10/54	#143% 23/54	17% 9/52	#232% 16/50	22% 9/40	67% 4/6
Guardians	RA	24% 13/54	#230% 16/54	#141% 22/54	28% 15/54	19% 10/54	11% 6/54	#330% 16/54	18% 9/50	23% 9/39	33% 2/6
Orioles	R	#132% 18/56	16% 9/56	25% 14/56	#230% 17/56	27% 15/56	21% 12/56	23% 13/56	#329% 15/51	25% 11/44	67% 4/6
Orioles	RA	21% 12/56	29% 16/56	#332% 18/56	30% 17/56	32% 18/56	#139% 22/56	24% 13/54	#239% 20/51	19% 7/36	67% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.